Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.270544 9.488539 10.842958 12.464074 14.356028 16.499475 19.119178
2025-02-16 6.453262 7.965302 9.786981 12.155166 15.169624 18.901204 23.905454
2025-02-23 5.437393 7.073709 9.162816 12.048394 15.966292 21.151180 28.616451
2025-03-02 4.722430 6.408059 8.663065 11.935409 16.620677 23.175117 33.194085
2025-03-09 4.156430 5.844504 8.194115 11.750913 17.082299 24.910296 37.523245
2025-03-16 3.680010 5.337239 7.725087 11.476544 17.332621 26.310409 41.479186
2025-03-23 3.487273 5.211903 7.781979 11.969499 18.773568 29.662554 48.958366
2025-03-30 3.241264 4.974791 7.636596 12.117164 19.664836 32.223560 55.469383
2025-04-06 2.982984 4.689188 7.380703 12.047165 20.171114 34.181038 61.180509
2025-04-13 2.745766 4.412314 7.107557 11.910349 20.532393 35.908855 66.693654
2025-04-20 2.631319 4.324254 7.132699 12.280073 21.818356 39.432195 76.131394
2025-04-27 2.510424 4.212710 7.104618 12.547030 22.938634 42.774485 85.711783
2025-05-04 2.430653 4.167510 7.191424 13.040499 24.562708 47.333873 98.653248
2025-05-11 2.234320 3.899085 6.856568 12.708298 24.538524 48.606370 104.718875
2025-05-18 2.089124 3.710189 6.648490 12.595561 24.935775 50.787030 113.169928
2025-05-25 1.957371 3.534676 6.448967 12.476869 25.302053 52.940344 121.908182
2025-06-01 1.828747 3.354382 6.224337 12.283143 25.483110 54.704334 129.995938
2025-06-08 1.700883 3.165415 5.966882 11.995080 25.423274 55.911977 136.889233
2025-06-15 1.673030 3.168256 6.086566 12.512662 27.218019 61.652939 156.578503
2025-06-22 1.608170 3.092394 6.041040 12.667724 28.199394 65.585369 172.150920
2025-06-29 1.525496 2.974209 5.898804 12.594218 28.632858 68.225011 184.607385
2025-07-06 1.442593 2.849426 5.732780 12.450551 28.879831 70.424695 196.211100
2025-07-13 1.413026 2.833264 5.795470 12.838806 30.485278 76.382982 220.268292